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Friday links: sticking to the rules

Prediction markets

  • Kalshi is launching the American (political) Power Index. (axios.com)
  • Kalshi and Coinbase ($COIN) are now offering perpetual futures. (cnbc.com)
  • On the state of insider trading on prediction markets. (bloomberg.com)

AI

  • Anthropic has run past OpenAI, valuation-wise. (pitchbook.com)
  • Inference-focused companies are generating revenues and investor interest. (newcomer.co)
  • Companies are coming to terms with their spending on tokens. (wsj.com)

Housing

  • New Zealand home prices are down some 16% from their peak. (bloomberg.com)
  • Housing is a resource like any other for the economy. (buttondown.com)

Economy

  • Looking for evidence that AI is taking jobs. (apollo.com)
  • Eight measures of U.S. prices. (econbrowser.com)
  • The crackdown on immigration is pushing population growth toward 0%. (axios.com)

Earlier on Abnormal Returns

  • What you missed in our Thursday linkfest. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Longform links: moving the algorithm. (abnormalreturns.com)
  • Don't miss a thing! Sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter. (abnormalreturns.com)

Mixed media

  • The USDA is cutting back on bee research. (theconversation.com)
  • Domestic demand for honey is up. (msn.com)
  • But production is down. (sherwood.news)